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What would have hapened at Pearl Harbor if the Japanese didn't have the element of surprise?
Japan's attack on pearl harbor was based on surprise, I think the 3rd wave was even withdrawn because this element was lost. What would have happened if they had lost the element of surprise and the Battleships were able to escape the harbor and able to amount some kind of counter attack. If we had been tipped off with just enough time to mobilize what would have happened?
I guess it wouldn't have been much of a battle even if we had been able to use our battleships to fight.
Actually the Japanese commanders and planners figured there would be a high likelihood that the attack would be discovered before the attack. Even if the element of surprise had been lost the Japanese planes and pilots were far superior to US planes and pilots at that time. If the battleships had sailed and been discovered and attacked in deeper water the US might have lost even more ships and lives. Remember several battleships were raised from the harbor bottom and repaired. In deeper water these ships would have been lost and many crew members might have not been saved.
As for the third wave, Nugumo himself ordered it canceled because he believed the attacks had done enough damage, not because the element of surprise had been lost. Interesting to note is the third attack targets would have been the oil tanks and repair yards.
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